78th Oscar predictions

78th Oscar predictions.

Last year, I didn't make too many correct guesses.


Best motion picture of the year
Brokeback Mountain (Focus Features)
Capote (UA/Sony Pictures Classics)
Crash (Lions Gate)
Good Night, and Good Luck. (Warner Independent Pictures)
Munich (Universal and DreamWorks)
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will win: Brokeback Mountain
should win: Crash

Achievement in directing
Brokeback Mountain (Focus Features)- Ang Lee
Capote (UA/Sony Pictures Classics) - Bennett Miller
Crash (Lions Gate) - Paul Haggis
Good Night, and Good Luck. (Warner Independent Pictures) - George Clooney
Munich (Universal and DreamWorks) - Steven Spielberg
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win will: Ang Lee - Brokeback Mountain
should win: Paul Haggis - Crash

Performance by an actor in a leading role
Philip Seymour Hoffman in Capote (UA/Sony Pictures Classics)
Terrence Howard in Hustle & Flow (Paramount Classics, MTV Films and New Deal Entertainment)
Heath Ledger in Brokeback Mountain (Focus Features)
Joaquin Phoenix in Walk the Line (20th Century Fox)
David Strathairn in Good Night, and Good Luck. (Warner Independent Pictures)
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will win: Philip Seymour Hoffman
should win: Philip Seymour Hoffman

Performance by an actor in a supporting role
George Clooney in Syriana (Warner Bros.)
Matt Dillon in Crash (Lions Gate)
Paul Giamatti in Cinderella Man (Universal and Miramax)
Jake Gyllenhaal in Brokeback Mountain (Focus Features)
William Hurt in A History of Violence (New Line)
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will win: George Clooney
should win: Matt Dillion

Performance by an actress in a leading role
Judi Dench in Mrs. Henderson Presents (The Weinstein Company)
Felicity Huffman in Transamerica (The Weinstein Company and IFC Films)
Keira Knightley in Pride & Prejudice (Focus Features)
Charlize Theron in North Country (Warner Bros.)
Reese Witherspoon in Walk the Line (20th Century Fox)
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will win: Reese Witherspoon
should win: Reese Witherspoon

Performance by an actress in a supporting role
Amy Adams in Junebug (Sony Pictures Classics)
Catherine Keener in Capote (UA/Sony Pictures Classics)
Frances McDormand in North Country (Warner Bros.)
Rachel Weisz in The Constant Gardener (Focus Features)
Michelle Williams in Brokeback Mountain (Focus Features)
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will win: Rachel Weisz
should win: Michelle Williams

Adapted screenplay
Brokeback Mountain (Focus Features)- Screenplay by Larry McMurtry & Diana Ossana
Capote (UA/Sony Pictures Classics) - Screenplay by Dan Futterman
The Constant Gardener (Focus Features)- Screenplay by Jeffrey Caine
A History of Violence (New Line) - Screenplay by Josh Olson
Munich (Universal and DreamWorks)- Screenplay by Tony Kushner and Eric Roth
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will win: Brokeback Mountain
should win: Munich

Original screenplay
Crash (Lions Gate) - Screenplay by Paul Haggis & Bobby Moresco, Story by Paul Haggis
Good Night, and Good Luck. (Warner Independent Pictures)- Screenplay by George Clooney & Grant Heslov
Match Point (DreamWorks) -Written by Woody Allen
The Squid and the Whale (Samuel Goldwyn Films and Sony Pictures Releasing)
Written by Noah Baumbach
Syriana (Warner Bros.)- Written by Stephen Gaghan
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will win: Crash
should win: Crash